Sorry Uncle @DeleMomodu, The Laundry Job No Longer Pays, By Ayantunji Benjamin Gbenro @bengbenro
This is in response to Uncle Dele Momodu’s article titled “DO BUHARI HANDLERS UNDERSTAND THAT THE NUMBERS ARE AGAINST THEM IN 2019 AT ALL”.
Let me start by congratulating Uncle Dele on the launching of his book and encomium showered on him by Pastor Tunde Bakare. You paid your due Sir. I will however love to bring to your attention that the laundry job is no longer adding up and you are gradually losing your gift of Pen Prophecy or Clairvoyance as alluded to by the revered Pastor Bakare, nothing pointed to that more than this article. I will endeavor to address the points you raised one after the other to show where you erred. You might probably have a rethink and correct yourself. We certainly need you to retain that unique gift of Pen Prophecy of Calirvoyance.
APC in disarray: I am not APC’s spokes person and I hope the party will find time to provide a more robust response to this. However, as an observer, APC at inception was a conglomerate of the progressives before the New PDP block joined and it became a collection of strange bed fellows. Nobody, can discountenance the contribution of the New PDP block in the victory at the polls in 2015 but when other factors such as Buhari, Tinubu, PVC and card reader are taken into cognizance, it pales into insignificance. The mistake APC made was probably taking the New PDP into its fold after they become political orphans. Probably it would have been better for APC not to have them. The New PDP block became an impediment to APC government immediately after election. Even the fact that they got the Senate Presidency and Speaker House of Representative, albeit against the party’s dictate did not satisfy their sense of entitlement. The former APC chairman also in my opinion failed to assert the party’s authority and bring everybody together. The new chairman, Comrade Adam Oshiomole is obviously trying to assuage frayed nerves. Whether this succeed or not is for future to tell, however, if I can hazard a guess, genuine APC members will be persuaded while fake members will leave back to their natural habitat. I will suggest at this juncture that you advice your friends to expedite their movement back home. Any time wasted is tragic. Presidential election is just about seven months away.
Your analysis of the outcome of the recent gubernatorial election in Ekiti State is completely out of sync with the reality. We know what a display of Federal Might you alluded to in the article look like. July 2014 election in the same Ekiti and September 2014 election in Osun State is not such a long time that we won’t remember. We didn’t see your “friend” Dr. Kayode Fayemi moving about in DSS bulletproofed vest with hooded DSS officers as was Gov. Ayodele Fayose in 2014. No PDP leader was arrested by the 30,000 strong police contingent in 2018 unlike the 36,000 combined security men/women of 2014. The home of the campaign director of PDP was not invaded nor was his 84yrs old mother harassed in 2018, unlike what happened to Mr. Bimbo Daramola in 2014. PDP leaders were not prevented from entering Ekiti in 2018, unlike 2014 when Ameachi, Oshiomole etc were prevented. There was no Musliu Obanikoro to ferry billions in chattered aircraft into Ado Ekiti in 2018, unlike 2014. I heard a helicopter landed in government house Ado Ekiti with tons of cash from somewhere in the Niger Delta. Rather than display of Federal might, the Governor used State might to place every possible impediment on the path of APC candidate, to the extent of trying to prevent the President from entering Ekiti State. We didn’t witness a 16-0 result were incumbent and all his party leaders lost their wards. Uncle, let’s not turn history on its head for posterity sake. PDP lost because incumbent Governor performed woefully, insulted elders and civil servants, disgraced Ekiti people and APC and it candidate took advantage through a robust and well coordinated campaign. There will be no need for 30,000 police in every State in 2019 Presidential election, but there will be need in some States with history of electoral violence. It’s a constitutional responsibility that the President must not shirk from irrespective of blackmail.
The most ridiculous of your assertions is trying to deny President Buhari’s domineering popularity in the north and that North has always been PDP’s region. Let me help you with a little history in case you missed it or you deliberately turn it on it head to encourage your friends. In 1999, Former President Obasanjo of PDP had 18,738,154 votes, while Chief Olu Falae of APP has 11,110,287 votes. The total votes was about 30 million. Bulk of PDP votes came from SE, SS and NC while bulk of APP votes came from NE, NW and SW. In 2003, PDP has 24,456,140 votes, Buhari of APP has 12,710,022 votes, Odimegwu Ojukwu of APGA has 1,297,445 votes and Jim Nwobodo of UNPP has 169,609 votes. The total votes increased to about 40 millions from 1999. That’s about 25% increase, this can only happen if the votes were inflated. Buhari of APP got bulk of his votes from NE and NW while PDP added SW to it votes. By 2007, Yar’Adua of PDP got 24,638,063 votes, Buhari of ANPP got 6,605,299 votes, Atiku of AC got 2,637,848 votes and Orji Uzor Kalu of PPA got 608,803 votes. Total votes was about 34 millions. The curious thing about the results is while PDP maintained almost the same number of votes as 2003 despite losing SW to Atiku of AC, Buhari’s votes dropped by about 6million votes despite retaining his traditional NE and NW. No wonder the 2007 election was adjudged the worst in our recent history. Even the winner agreed that the election was the worst. In 2011, Former President Goodluck Jonathan of PDP got about 22,495,187 votes, Buhari of CPC got 12,214,853 votes, Nuhu Ribadu of ACN got 2,079,151 Votes and Shekarau of ANPP got 917,012 votes. Total votes was about 37 millions, about 8% increase from 2007. This increase is basically due to increase in total votes from SE and SS which obviously due to inflation of results. Buhari retained his NE and NW and 12million votes. 2015 elections saw Buhari’s emergence as the winner with 15,424,921 votes and GEJ of PDP got 12,853,162 votes. The total votes was about 28millions. Compared to the previous elections since 1999, that’s a minimum of about 20% drop. While this could be superficially attributed to voters apathy, the truth is that physical evidence during campaign and voting shows more turn out than previous elections. The introduction of PVC and card readers prevented inflation of votes. Despite the fact that Buhari marginally defeated PDP in the SW and NC for the first time, these technologies prevented votes inflation from SE and SS which could have made PDP a comfortable winner. Sir, let’s always present facts for the sake of upcoming generation. Buhari’s dominance is not a myth, North is not a traditional PDP enclave and you got the arithmetic wrong.
As long as Tinubu and Buhari remain in APC, you can advice your friends to move into any other party. Advise them to field the most formidable candidate among them and that they should all back him up. Let’s settle this issue of who own Nigeria between the masses and your political elite friends once and for all in 2019.
God bless the Federal republic of Nigeria