Ekiti: The “Rice” And Fall Of An Incumbent By Ahmed B. Kaita
Indeed there were ample democratic lessons in the just conducted Ekiti State gubernatorial elections which returned Mr. Ayo Fayose elected as the new governor of the state. The clearest lesson should be the most elementary in Nigeria’s kind of democracy. In our mutant democracy, the end always justifies the means. The process was clearly defined by brute force and of course, some 5kg bags of rice. Ekiti was a test ground for the factors that may likely influence 2015 elections among which, hunger is the first.
The Ekiti gubernatorial election has come and gone, and PDP is back in power there. Fayose will soon begin to call the shots for the next four years. So much for that election. What next? This is instructive. APC should know that popularity is not equivalent to brute and hard politics. Its members should also know that they are walking on a long and hard road to wherever they may want to be in 2015.
In addition to enjoying the power of incumbency with all the paraphernalia of security apparatus, PDP’s long years in power has prepared its ‘drivers’ to weather both the smooth and rough terrains of ‘African’ politics and politicking. The peculiarity of this kind of politics is that it is rough and dangerous. It is not politics of ‘glasses – wearing intellectuals and glib English – speaking hot bloods’. It is downright monetary and rough necked.
Despite the increased dislike for PDP among a large population of Nigerians, particularly because of the pedestrian manner in which its leadership responds to very sober issues of national concern, particularly corruption in high places, it has ‘foot soldiers’ who are ever ready to sacrifice anything in order to maintain the party’s stranglehold on power. The money they are ‘accessing’ is no peanuts and they can always spend billions to make more billions. All the security services are at their beck and call for obvious reasons. We saw that in Ekiti State during the last election. In just one fell swoop, Ekiti received more human and material support from the federal government than the combined needs of Borno/Yobe/Adamawa. One day, somebody may explain such a “decisive” strategy to maintain law and order in a peaceful “Ekiti” while the N’East region is left to its own devices.
Only the incurable naïve will expect this effective strategy to be abandoned after Ekiti State. PDP will always be ready to do that again anywhere, anytime. Osun State is the next laboratory where the strategy may be perfected in preparation to 2015.
Abacha Jnr’s release from the tenterhook of corrupt charges despite the enormity of the amount involved is part of the preparation for 2015 in Kano State. With PDP out in the cold in Kano, somebody shall be ‘unleashed’ on Kwankwaso and APC in the state to avert a painful death of the PDP in 2015. Money go jam money and Kwankwaso should, like Tinubu was prepared for Baba Iyabo back then, be fully ready in his own interest and the interest of his party. APC should be fully ready’o! These fellows don’t think it is departure time at all and they have every reason to think so.
To most of us 2015 is another mile in our trip to nationhood. To PDP folks, it’s a terrifying possibility of a life of deprivation. It spells a possibility of life behind bars or, at least an end to a cheap and illegal source of obscene lifestyle in the midst of hunger. Nobody should ever expect PDP to let go this exclusivity and join the rest of the country in suffering the PDP- inflicted penury the nation is fully enveloped in.
Recent happenings in Adamawa state where Governor Murtala Nyako is facing a plethora of phantom ghostly allegations from his first term could easily be seen as conveniently aligned to PDP’s 2015 desperation.
With a hopeless situation in Kano state, a not so promising Jigawa State and a wobbly Katsina State out of control of a highly deceptive Governor Shema who’s playing it safe trying to predict which side the wind will blow, the only remaining option for PDP to balance this deficit is to get, by the power of EFCC what it could not get through the instruments of democracy hence, the woes of Governor Nyako.
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