Anambra Decide: A Pragmatic Analysis! By Maxwell Adeyemi Adeleye
In an apparent move to cover his ass and secret, Governor Peter Obi has handed over the ticket of his party, APGA, to one of his trusted employees, Mr. Willy Obiano, a former Executive Director of Fidelity Bank. Fidelity Bank is owned by Governor Peter Obi.
As a conscious pundit, let me avow that I don’t see APGA winning the coming election. I make bold to assert that Obi rode to stardom through the legacies of the late Biafra War-lord and founder of APGA, late Emeka Ojukwu. Anambrans voted for Ojukwu in 2003 not Obi. Obi was re-elected in 2010 based on the proclamation of Ojukwu that he should be returned to government house.
The results of 2011 election in Anambra State are a pointer to the fact that Obi is no longer popular in the state. A sitting governor that lost all his three Senatorial Districts to opposition parties cannot be christened a rooted and grounded leader. None of the three senators from Anambra State were elected on the platform of APGA. All the three APGA senatorial candidates and most of its Reps candidates were defeated in 2011 elections despite having power of incumbency to their credit.
A rerun poll ordered by a court of appeal sitting in Enugu in 2012 between Senator Andy Uba of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, and Mr. Nzeribe of APGA ended to the disadvantage of APGA as the party was shamefully rejected by the people of Anambra Southern senatorial district. Andy Uba defeated Obi’s anointed candidate despite the state apparatus he used to his advantage. That Obi is not politically grounded in Anambra State cannot be controverted by any realist.
Two candidates namely Senator Andy Uba representing Anambra South in National Assembly and Comrade Tony Nwoye, a former President, national Association of Nigerian Students (NAN’S) has emerged for the PDP. However, the national working committee (NWC) of the party, in exercising the power vested on it by section 85 of its constitution and the 2010 electoral act, to present candidate for governorship elections, has announced that Tony Nwoye will flag its ticket.
Apparently, Uba will be heading to court to challenge its party decision but I don’t see him winning. His romance and undisputed loyalty to ex-president Olusegun Obasanjo, according to many pundits, cost him the ticket. Let me state unequivocally that allowing Obasanjo’s candidate to win Anambra governorship seat might spell doom for President Jonathan in 2015 knowing-fully well that the ex-president’s loyalty to the current PDP led federal government is questionable because rumors have it that Obasanjo is the one instigating Governors Amaechi, Rivers, Lamido, Jigawa, Aliyu, Niger, Nyako, Adamawa, Kwakwaso, Kano and Wamako, Sokoto against the administration of president Goodluck Jonathan.
I wish to opine that Andy Uba can never get the blessing of PDP NWC unless miracle happen in court, provided he appeal.
The who is who in the newly registered All Progressives Congress (APC) have openly endorsed the candidature of Dr. Chris Ngige, a Senator representing Anambra Central in National Assembly. Majority of the poor people of Anambra sees Ngige as a hero because of the manner which he stood against the hegemony of Uba family members when he was illegally ruling the state as Governor from 2003 to 2006. Ngige remains the sitting governor that had ever been kidnapped in the history of Nigeria with no thanks to the desperate Uba Clan.
Constitutionally, Ngige ruled Anambra State without legitimacy but he gave himself legitimacy through a superlative and meritorious performance within the 30 months he governed the state. To many observers, the legacies left behind by Ngige are what Obi had been building on for the past 85 months.
In addition, Nigige contested in 2011 against Prof. Dora Akunyili, a powerful Minister in Jonathan’s cabinet and candidate of the ruling party (APGA) and won despite the open conspiracy between the state government and the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to rig him out. The rest is history!
In conclusion, may i assert that the fast approaching election will be full of surprise, but currently, going by the courts of public opinion, I foresee victory for Dr. Chris Ngige of the APC. The internal wrangling within the PDP will wreck havoc of its chance of winning, while the candidate of the APGA is highly unpopular. Obiano is relatively unknown in the political circle of the state, therefore, putting into consideration of its abysmal and woeful performance of APGA in 2011 elections, I doubt of the power of incumbency it is relying on will materialized.
Maxwell Adeyemi Adeleye, a freelance political reporter, writes from Magodo, Lagos. +2348178427387
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