2019: Why APC May Lose Big, By Adebayo Samuel

The last of the crisis rocking the All Progressive Congress (APC) is not yet seen; as the issues, if not well managed, may lead to a total collapse of the party’s dominance in some states come 2019.

The post-primary elections issues in states like, Ogun, Kaduna, Zamfara and Rivers States are one that may mar the victory of the ruling party in those states.

Ogun state for example had two separate primaries where the sitting Governor Ibikunle Amosun handpicked some candidates including himself for the 2019 general elections. This stand didn’t go well with some stakeholders of the party including the National Working Committee (NWC).

Recall that the NWC who have the constitutional right to conduct primary elections, did conduct one but was boycotted by the Governor Amosun. At the end of the exercise, the Governor rejected the NWC’s candidates for the 2019 elections.

It is a case yet to be resolved and with all indications the Governor is not willing to support the candidates of the party produced by the NWC primary and this many believe will negatively affect the chances of the party come 2019.

Kaduna state is also one of the states with post-primary elections issues, especially the Kaduna Central Senatorial primary election where Senator Shehu Sani lost out due to total rejection by majority of the party’s supporter from the district. Though the party leadership at the national level offered the ticket to Senator Sani, the people’s choice prevailed.

Senator Sani has since left the party with his supporters reportedly teaming up with opposition parties in the district. This again may cost the APC in retaining the senatorial seat come 2019.

Zamfara State is one state the APC can’t afford to lose but with the fallout from the primaries and the recent press release by INEC where it claimed the party APC didn’t hold any primary as required by the constitution before the deadline set out by INEC, it is obvious the party have their work cut out for them in the next few weeks as failure to resolve this on time may deny them total participation in the election.

Lastly, Rivers State has been a state the APC had worked so hard to win but lost out in 2015. Though they currently have some serving legislators, all is still not well with the party in the state as parallel primaries were also conducted couple with the recent Supreme Court judgment which has further put the party’s faith in hanging.  To this effect, all effort must be made to set the court judgment aside or they risk losing out of any chance to participate in the 2019 elections.

With all eyes now on the party leadership to see how these issues are resolved, the court cases, submission of candidates, stakeholders are hopeful the aggrieved members are pacified to ensure victory for the APC in the 2019 elections.


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