2015: As We Await Judgment on Jonathan’s Eligibility, Three Things That Will Happen If…
The Supreme Court is expected to deliver its judgment on President Jonathan’s eligibility on whether he can run for President in 2015. The judgment is expected to be delivered between the 16th and 18th of December. The case which is being giving a special attention and accelerated hearing, if passed will solve the issue of eligibility, and will solve many issues surrounding the heated elections of 2015.
Already, many legal practitioners and bodies have challenged President Jonathan not to run for President again, considering the fact that, security challenge has been escalating, corruption is at its unprecedented level, and some say his practical inability to control the government of the state.
Looking critically at all the scenarios, three things are likely going to happen after the passage of the judgment whether in favor of the President, or against him.
Firstly, if the judgment is passed in favor of President Jonathan, many people, legal bodies, opposition and professions may further loss hope on the judicial system as many people believe section 137 (a) was explicit. That may see many people trying to use that land mark judgment for extending their tenures also. But if the judgment is passed against President Jonathan, then that is the end of his political good luck. The PDP will have to fill in another candidate, or give the other contender that lost the primaries to President Jonathan. That May help see a cleaner election as Jonathan and his people will not commit so much to the election.
Secondly, if the judgment clearly stops Jonathan from contesting, Namadi Sambo may jump in to the race for the Presidency. That may bring back the PDP zoning agreement, but that will further bring miscalculations in party positions, and perhaps the south south may trump their support for the opposition. If the judgment will allow the President additional tenure, that will see addition effort from the President to win the election. That will further push inflation higher, and perhaps, the economy may further collapse.
Lastly, the people’s reaction will further shape and trail the outcome. The kinsmen of the President may try to show their grievances, already some are calling for war. The people of the north will definitely receive the news with jubilation. Some national figures will be put in dilemma as to which party to support since the court has stopped the President.
Whatever the come is, election must hold in 2015. The election must be free, fair and credible. Whether the court stops or allow President Jonathan, he still have a responsibility to Nigerians till 29 may 2015.
Comrade Abdulbaqi Aliyu Jari
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